Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.898299 3.059972 3.229238 3.420260 3.630563 3.855856 4.116558
2025-10-26 2.634097 2.864603 3.118247 3.420441 3.773889 4.178319 4.682238
2025-11-02 2.439715 2.704149 3.004737 3.376234 3.829599 4.374019 5.092092
2025-11-09 2.279523 2.561703 2.890207 3.307559 3.833894 4.490760 5.399027
2025-11-16 2.163145 2.459011 2.810422 3.267548 3.860870 4.627436 5.734949
2025-11-23 2.092644 2.404864 2.782859 3.285970 3.957854 4.857011 6.217332
2025-11-30 2.027677 2.352237 2.751782 3.294494 4.038177 5.066377 6.692009
2025-12-07 1.931211 2.254538 2.657078 3.211517 3.984993 5.079372 6.866091
2025-12-14 1.852262 2.175097 2.581271 3.148094 3.952462 5.116308 7.077895
2025-12-21 1.798827 2.125656 2.541533 3.130212 3.981432 5.244292 7.451838
2025-12-28 1.749512 2.079220 2.503113 3.111069 4.005727 5.364994 7.827111
2026-01-04 1.719509 2.056563 2.494924 3.133006 4.091012 5.587373 8.415591
2026-01-11 1.691330 2.036292 2.490397 3.161855 4.191960 5.850599 9.140442
2026-01-18 1.656505 2.005864 2.470636 3.167456 4.257318 6.061589 9.806991
2026-01-25 1.609377 1.956968 2.422971 3.128810 4.248799 6.142420 10.215512
2026-02-01 1.558104 1.900711 2.362763 3.068173 4.200150 6.146210 10.454224
2026-02-08 1.517956 1.858432 2.320695 3.032790 4.190309 6.219105 10.865947
2026-02-15 1.496276 1.840839 2.312912 3.049086 4.267205 6.460841 11.738504
2026-02-22 1.473196 1.820447 2.300136 3.056624 4.329134 6.680023 12.614006
2026-03-01 1.427434 1.767003 2.237628 2.983180 4.245699 6.602737 12.673532
2026-03-08 1.388800 1.722683 2.187198 2.926948 4.189463 6.575836 12.872493
2026-03-15 1.363652 1.696728 2.162824 2.911077 4.203561 6.694081 13.523038
2026-03-22 1.339358 1.671344 2.138463 2.894081 4.214345 6.806182 14.189245